How accurate are we?
We have published 134 on-sale dates that have now come around. 122 of them were right, which is 91%.
Scored 26 October 2026
How this is counted
Every date is recorded when we first publish it. If a venue later announces a different date, that counts against us even though we corrected it, because a subscriber may already have written the wrong one down. A date that reached its day without ever being corrected counts for us. Dates we never published are not counted either way.
By how sure we said we were
| We said | Right | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| Confirmed at source | 56 of 60 | 93% |
| Likely | 19 of 19 | 100% |
| Our estimate, from last year | 47 of 55 | 85% |
A row we called venue confirmed and got wrong is a broken promise. A row we called our estimate and got wrong is a labelled guess that did not pay off. They are not the same failure, which is why they are counted separately.
Every date we got wrong
In full, worst first. A negative number means the sale opened earlier than we said, which is the one that actually costs somebody a ticket.
| What | Where | We said | Our date | Actual | Days out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitality London 10,000 2027 entries open | St James's Park start | Our estimate, from last year | 28 September 2026 | 26 September 2027 | +363 |
| Boomtown 2027, Chapter Six next price tier | Matterley Estate | Our estimate, from last year | 1 October 2026 | 15 August 2027 | +318 |
| London New Year's Eve | London New Year's Eve | Confirmed at source | 31 December 2026 | 23 October 2026 | -69 |
| Glastonbury 2027 — registration deadline | Worthy Farm, Pilton | Our estimate, from last year | 2 November 2026 | 25 September 2026 | -38 |
| Glastonbury 2027 — general sale | Worthy Farm, Pilton | Our estimate, from last year | 8 November 2026 | 4 October 2026 | -35 |
| London New Year's Eve Fireworks 2026 - final ticket batch | Thames viewing areas | Our estimate, from last year | 20 November 2026 | 23 October 2026 | -28 |
| AJ Bell Great North Run 2027 ballot | Newcastle to South Shields | Our estimate, from last year | 14 October 2026 | 20 September 2026 | -24 |
| Skate at Somerset House 2026 | Somerset House | Our estimate, from last year | 16 September 2026 | 23 September 2026 | +7 |
| Creamfields 2027 general sale | Daresbury Estate | Our estimate, from last year | 2 October 2026 | 29 September 2026 | -3 |
| Sunderland | Away | Confirmed at source | 30 September 2026 | 1 October 2026 | +1 |
| Historic Royal Palaces | Historic Royal Palaces | Confirmed at source | 27 September 2026 | 27 September 2026 | 0 |
| Relaxed Mornings in the Magic Garden | Hampton Court Palace | Confirmed at source | 18 October 2026 | 18 October 2026 | 0 |