How accurate are we?
We have published 9 on-sale dates that have now come around. 9 of them were right, which is 100%.
Scored 9 September 2026
How this is counted
Every date is recorded when we first publish it. If a venue later announces a different date, that counts against us even though we corrected it, because a subscriber may already have written the wrong one down. A date that reached its day without ever being corrected counts for us. Dates we never published are not counted either way.
By how sure we said we were
| We said | Right | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| Confirmed at source | 2 of 2 | 100% |
| Likely | 6 of 6 | 100% |
| Our estimate, from last year | 1 of 1 | 100% |
A row we called venue confirmed and got wrong is a broken promise. A row we called our estimate and got wrong is a labelled guess that did not pay off. They are not the same failure, which is why they are counted separately.
Every date we got wrong
None yet. When there are some, they will be listed here in full rather than summarised away.